9:36 AM, 25th October 2022, About A year ago 4
Much of the chatter in the media is Labour almost certainly is going to have a majority in the hundreds and the Tories down to routinely suggested less than 100 or even single numbers. I was musing how likely is that in reality?
Council by-elections are nowhere near as bad and sometimes the Tories still win seats. Among the talking points by Labour is ‘We won the council of Southampton’. However, apart from brief periods, it has been mostly Labour in recent decades – in 2012 and still was one when they lost one of the MP seats (Itchen). I realize governments lose elections rather than oppositions win them sometimes.
However, even after the downturn of ’08 and massive unemployment and etc, Labour was still only 70 from a majority. The Tories have poured masses of money into lowering peoples energy bills and despite what Labour infers at various points, the support was actually more than Labour was offering. Whereas labour did nothing to help bills, except for pensioners.
Equally, as everyone knows here, the Tories have changed the rental sector massively, more than Labour ever did and could even argue almost more than Labour said they would do (only thing left standing is rent controls). I realize the general public generally are ignorant about many things such as what the reality of Labour’s mantra of taxes only on the ‘rich’ to Labour saying the Tories have done nothing about landlords.
For instance, it is the affluent areas that seem to be going for the Lib Dems despite their tax policies they probably would hate. In my experience there is usually horror when these types find out the reality rather than the soundbite of the ‘rich’.
Then of course it is noticeable quite a lot of the social/left wing policies espoused by Corbyn seem to have not been returned.
There was reason enough to not like the Tories a year ago when they were ahead by 10-20% – so I just think for that now to be reversed is hardly proportionate.
I can get my head around Labour winning between general ignorance of the population that should know better (the middle class) and the media treating the Tories arguably like they did Corbyn and, in my view, most certainly the last years of labour 09/10. Not to mention the Tories have to a greater or lesser extent have actually targeted their own vote, especially since 2015.
So, I guess I would be interested to know everyone’s thoughts?
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