Income to house price ratio climbs to 8.1 making PRS even more critical

Income to house price ratio climbs to 8.1 making PRS even more critical

9:07 AM, 22nd July 2021, About 2 weeks ago 5

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GetAgent.co.uk, has analysed data on both house price and the average income across Britain, looking at how the income to house price ratio has changed since the Stamp Duty holiday was launched last July.

Income to house price ratio climbs to 8.1 in Britain

The data shows that the average person in Britain earns a gross income of £31,770. Back in July, the average property price in Britain was £239,355. This placed the income to house price ratio at 7.5 – essentially meaning that it would take 7.5 years of the average gross income to fully cover the cost of the average property.

However, since then the latest available data for May of this year shows that house prices have climbed to an average of £257,726 across Britain, pushing the average income to house price ratio up to 8.1 – a 0.6% increase in less than a year.

Interestingly, while the average income to house price ratio differs across Wales, Scotland and England, all three nations have also seen a 0.6 increase, despite also seeing their respective SDLT holidays run for varying periods of time.

South East sees the largest regional jump

All regions of Britain have seen an uplift in the income to house price ratio since the launch of the stamp duty holiday.

The South East has seen the largest regional jump, up 0.7 from 9.3 in July of last year. This means that the average home in the region now costs ten times that of the average gross income.

While London is home to the largest current ratio at 11.7, the region has, at least, seen the smallest increase, up by just 0.3 since July 2020.

Rutland, North Devon and South Hams home to the highest increases

The bad news is that in many local authorities, this increase has been far greater and nowhere more so than Rutland. In July 2020, the average home in the region required 10.4 years of gross income to cover but today, this has climbed to 12.7 – a 2.3 increase.

North Devon (+2.2), South Hams (+2.2) and West Devon (+2.0) have also seen the average income to house price ratio climb by more than +2 in less than a year.

Richmondshire (+1.9), Oxford (+1.8), North Norfolk (+1.8), Wychavon (+1.7), Mole Valley (+1.6) and Cotswolds (1.6) also rank within the top 10 areas to see the biggest hit to house price affordability as a result of the stamp duty holiday.

Founder and CEO of GetAgent.co.uk, Colby Short, commented: “Much like most government initiatives to stimulate the housing market, a short term focus on house price prosperity is starting to leave a legacy of long market delays, disgruntled homebuyers and some of the worst levels of housing affordability we’ve seen in recent times.”

Table shows the change in income to house price ratio since the launch of the stamp duty holiday and currently (May 2021 – latest available data)
Location Average annual gross salary (2020) AveHP – July 2020 AveHP – May 2021 Affordability ratio July 2020 Affordability ratio May 2021 Change in affordability ratio
South East £35,039 £325,592 £350,016 9.3 10.0 0.7
North West £28,644 £171,139 £189,245 6.0 6.6 0.6
Wales £26,805 £168,415 £184,297 6.3 6.9 0.6
Scotland £29,980 £154,553 £171,448 5.2 5.7 0.6
West Midlands Region £29,408 £203,616 £219,793 6.9 7.5 0.6
East Midlands £28,957 £200,418 £216,077 6.9 7.5 0.5
East of England £33,114 £292,517 £310,200 8.8 9.4 0.5
South West £28,003 £263,831 £277,603 9.4 9.9 0.5
North East £27,153 £130,713 £143,129 4.8 5.3 0.5
Yorkshire and The Humber £28,096 £169,056 £181,856 6.0 6.5 0.5
London £42,667 £483,267 £497,948 11.3 11.7 0.3
England £32,237 £253,257 £271,434 7.9 8.4 0.6
Great Britain £31,770 £239,355 £257,726 7.5 8.1 0.6
Average house prices sourced form the Gov.uk – UK House Price Index (July 2020 to May 2021 – latest available data)
Average salary data sourced from ONS – Employee earnings in the UK (2020 – latest available data)
Income to house price ratio based on the average house priced divided by the average gross income
             
Table shows the areas to have seen the biggest change in income to house price ratio since the launch of the stamp duty holiday (May 2021 – latest available data)
Location Average annual gross salary (2020) AveHP – July 2020 AveHP – May 2021 Affordability ratio July 2020 Affordability ratio May 2021 Change in affordability ratio
Rutland £30,402 £316,644 £385,684 10.4 12.7 2.3
North Devon £22,025 £237,552 £286,342 10.8 13.0 2.2
South Hams £24,354 £299,549 £353,318 12.3 14.5 2.2
West Devon £28,380 £249,541 £306,203 8.8 10.8 2.0
Richmondshire £23,750 £208,812 £255,058 8.8 10.7 1.9
Oxford £31,232 £399,238 £455,537 12.8 14.6 1.8
North Norfolk £23,274 £246,718 £288,125 10.6 12.4 1.8
Wychavon £29,055 £273,541 £322,181 9.4 11.1 1.7
Mole Valley £36,879 £474,266 £534,969 12.9 14.5 1.6
Cotswold £32,585 £391,212 £443,022 12.0 13.6 1.6
Average house prices sourced form the Gov.uk – UK House Price Index (July 2020 to May 2021 – latest available data)
Average salary data sourced from ONS – Employee earnings in the UK (2020 – latest available data)
Income to house price ratio based on the average house priced divided by the average gross income
             


Comments

by TheBiggerPicture

10:50 AM, 22nd July 2021, About 2 weeks ago

That sounds high, but I wonder how the ratio would change if it were household income to price ratio?

Most purchases I would guess would be from a couple as it is the norm now both partners tend to work.

by The Forever Tenant

12:50 PM, 22nd July 2021, About 2 weeks ago

Reply to the comment left by TheBiggerPicture at 22/07/2021 - 10:50
Are there mortgage lenders out there that offer a multiplier on both salaries?

One other thing to also consider, is that the salary amount they have used is the average, which is skewed upward considerably by the extreme high earners. The median is several thousand pounds lower.

by Mick Roberts

19:03 PM, 22nd July 2021, About A week ago

Yes,

I've always said when houses are over 4 x earnings, we too expensive. But maybe this is the norm. What we do know is that we never know.

by Mick Roberts

19:04 PM, 22nd July 2021, About A week ago

Reply to the comment left by The Forever Tenant at 22/07/2021 - 12:50
I spoke to one of my Mortgage Broker women today & she said Yes, 4.5 times now easy on both joint couples income.

by TheBiggerPicture

12:11 PM, 23rd July 2021, About A week ago

Reply to the comment left by The Forever Tenant at 22/07/2021 - 12:50
Was about to make same comment.
Median would be more useful.


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