Happy New Year George Osborne!

Happy New Year George Osborne!

8:33 AM, 1st January 2016, About 8 years ago 16

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Well George, it’s that time again when you look back on the past year and forward to the year ahead.george

How was 2015 for you? You are probably feeling very pleased with your achievements. Your Conservative party was elected with an overall majority in the May election. Now there is no Clegg, Cable or other moderate Liberals to hold you back. You and your chum Dave are in full control, marching on with the policies that suit your political aims.

Free from the constraints of coalition, you didn’t waste much time in bringing forward proposals that were not in your election manifesto and were ruled out by David Cameron’s promise to the electorate that income tax would not be increased in this parliament. In your Summer Budget on 8 July, you put the boot into landlords with your Alice in Wonderland Tax which will prevent landlords offsetting legitimate business costs against profit. Despite the protests from landlords, the Institute of Financial Studies, Professor Philip Booth, the ICAEW and many others, no amendments were made to your proposal and you easily got this legislation through Parliament.

You really had it in for buy to let in 2015 didn’t you? In addition to removing the 10% wear and tear allowance, you also announced in your Autumn Statement that from April 2016, Higher Rates of Stamp Duty Land Tax would apply to the purchase of buy to let properties and second homes.

Your political priority is clearly to promote home ownership, but unfortunately you are forgetting those who can’t afford to buy and can’t access social housing. Can’t you see that your Clause 24 buy to let tax grab will not help first time buyers get mortgages? For years, successive governments have recognised the important role played by the private rented sector. What has changed George?

Looking ahead to 2016, what might be in store? Do you have other buy to let tax grabs up your sleeve to be announced in your March budget? Let’s hope not, as your existing policies are already perfectly adequate to achieve your objective of taxing most landlords out of existence.

We don’t have a crystal ball and so can’t predict what other surprises you will come up with next. We can however make a few predictions for 2016, based on the proposals you announced in 2015. Just for you George, here are our predictions:

  1. Your buy to let tax grab will result in rent increases as landlords will need to pass on their additional costs to their customers. Your buy to let tax grab will become known as ‘George’s Tenant Tax’ once tenants realise what has caused their rent increases.
  2. Homelessness will increase as tenants will be evicted by landlords who are forced to sell to avoid your buy to let tax grab.
  3. Local authorities will begin to realise what is going on when the costs they incur housing the homeless begin to increase. The owners of bed and breakfast establishments will be delighted as their rooms will always be full.
  4. From April, the housing market will begin to stagnate as your 3% stamp duty hike kicks in. Your housing supply targets will not be met as your policies are not encouraging investment in all tenures of housing.
  5. In the spring, your officials in HM Treasury will be very busy preparing to defend the Judicial Review of your buy to let tax grab. That’s right George, a Judicial Review! Did you really think you could get away with this absurd tax proposal? Did you think landlords would not fight back and defend their businesses?

We are raising funds to challenge you in court. Here is our fund raising page. It’s amazing what can be achieved when so many people feel aggrieved and are willing to contribute to a good cause.

https://www.crowdjustice.co.uk/case/clause24/

Well George, that’s about it from us. We do wish you health and happiness in 2016 but we do hope you will get some better advisers in 2016 than those you had in 2015. Happy New Year.

Jacob


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Comments

Rachel Hobdell

17:33 PM, 1st January 2016, About 8 years ago

Reply to the comment left by "Chris Byways" at "01/01/2016 - 16:56":

I DID NOT UNDERTAND A THING OF IT, CERTAINLY NOT THIS LAST SENTENCE :
by favouring their own national undertakings and industries over others could be used to challenge (effective) tax hikes, but that is the strange direction that the law has been taken.
State aid arises
Does anyone else understands or can explain ?

Chris Byways

18:29 PM, 1st January 2016, About 8 years ago

Reply to the comment left by "Rachel Hobdell" at "01/01/2016 - 17:33":

Good international barristers can earn £1m a year, so don't worry about trying to understand. They are the type of lawyers the Gov use - at our expense.

It is a question of precedents, and our law not being at variance to similar judgement in EU, even though nothing to do with housing or possibly tax. Above my pay grade too.

Dr Monty Drawbridge

0:00 AM, 2nd January 2016, About 8 years ago

Reply to the comment left by "Rachel Hobdell" at "01/01/2016 - 17:33":

Rachel,

My understanding of the document is this:

State aid can occur whenever government resources are used to provide assistance that gives organisations an advantage over others. State Aid Law is intended to ensure this only happens in cases where is can be justified in order to correct a market failure.

In a nutshell what he is saying is that:

1) Tax policy is not outside State Aid Law.

2) That because the activities of corporate and private landlords are legally and factually largely the same ("They are subject to the same regulatory regimes and provide the same services") the government needs to take a lot of care when providing an advantage to one group over the other.

3) To justify doing so they would need to show that the distortions created by the changes are justifiable because they are likely to be an effective way to achieve the objective of the divisive policy.

He then contends that the that the government don't appear to have clearly thought out the reasons for justification, as the reasons given don't hold up to initial scrutiny. e.g. the argument that finance and interest costs are a different sort of expense and should be treated differently, is undermined by apply this to private landlords whilst not applying this to corporate landlords (who run pretty much identical businesses).

It's very positive. That said, he mentions that the case he refers to took 13 years to resolve...

Mandy Thomson

15:02 PM, 4th January 2016, About 8 years ago

Judicial review cases are often argued around the consultation that took place prior to the proposal being passed, and not against the legislation itself. This is because, as has been stated, the standard of proof is high and judges do not like to interfere directly with the rulings of local or national government. The consultation is therefore often the Achilles' heel.

If the "consultation" here is based around the geography graduate's report that Mark Alexander revealed recently, or anything of a similar calibre, I would say the claimants have a very strong case. I doubt very much that a celebrated chamber of QCs would be offering representation if it wasn't.

Claire Smith

16:52 PM, 5th January 2016, About 8 years ago

Reply to the comment left by "Cosmo Anayiotos" at "01/01/2016 - 12:21":

The £45,000 is the initial response only. I'll admit that I haven't paid in yet - but I will be doing this week! Hopefully this fund (and the numbers) will grow rapidly.

Steve Wood

5:39 AM, 8th January 2016, About 8 years ago

It's encouraging to see a fair amount of activity around this stupid and I'll thought through attack on the BTL / PRS.
The arguments against the tax changes and the Judicial Review are being exceptionally well organised and presented.
I do worry damage is happening daily through the lack of understanding in government and the contradictory policies. I read a debate on the new housing bill or whatever it's called and quite frankly some of the comments being made where beyond a joke. We need professional people making legislation not politicians. Let's bring in a Common Sense section of government and give it authority over all they do. Plus a commercial arm to relate comments to the real world. No money can be wasted taking proposals forward if they cannot propose sensible changes.
If only!!

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