2 weeks ago | 5 comments
Hear me out, but the most important landlord who left the market this year may be the one who never entered it in the first place.
We spend a huge amount of time arguing about how many landlords are selling and creating an ‘exodus’.
Perhaps we should start asking a different question: Who is buying the homes that tenants will need tomorrow?
Let’s face it, the answer is becoming uncomfortable.
Several stories this week made me sit up and take notice.
Firstly, buy to let purchase mortgage searches fell by 22% year on year in August, according to Twenty7tec.
It recorded 70,452 purchase searches during the month, with activity also down 14% compared with July.
OK, one month’s mortgage searches do not prove the collapse of landlord investment.
But put that figure beside everything else happening in the private rented sector and a pattern begins to emerge.
Zoopla says landlord investment remains muted because of higher costs and increased regulation.
The number of homes available to rent is already 3% lower than a year ago and was 6% lower in August.
It expects rents to rise by another 4% to 5% by the end of the year.
There is a fairly obvious connection here.
I’ve explained before that if an existing landlord sells to another landlord, the private rented sector has lost nothing.
If a landlord sells to an owner-occupier, a home has disappeared from the available stock.
To replace it, somebody somewhere needs to buy another property and put it into the sector.
That requires investors willing to invest.
And that’s why endless arguments over whether there has technically been a ‘landlord exodus’ risk missing the bigger problem.
The danger is not only landlords leaving today.
It is the potential landlords we keep hearing about.
Apparently, they are younger investors looking for long-term gains. (Remember them?)
They will look at the tax, borrowing costs, regulation and risk and decide there are easier places to put their money.
That decision makes no headlines.
There is no For Sale board, there’s no landlord handing back the keys and no dramatic statistic showing another investor has quit.
The landlord purchase never happens.
Meanwhile, the Office for National Statistics says annual private rent growth reached a nine-month high in August.
The average monthly rent in England is now £1,459, £56 more than a year earlier.
That should surprise nobody, except perhaps politicians and tenant activist groups.
It is difficult to increase regulation, increase costs, make possession more complicated and then expect investors to queue up to provide more homes.
Of course, more social housing would help and so would a housebuilding boom.
I’d like to look like Henry Cavill too, but none of these things will be happening.
Even Angela Rayner’s much-lauded aim of building 1.5 million homes has run into trouble.
She now acknowledges there is only a ‘slim chance’ of meeting the target by the next Parliament.
Ange, there was never, ever going to be a realistic chance of hitting it.
Which brings us back to the private rented sector.
There is no magic warehouse full of homes waiting to be released if landlords disappear.
Not while tenants still need somewhere to live.
First-time buyers struggling with mortgage affordability will remain tenants for longer.
Families still need houses to rent, and students need rooms.
Workers moving for jobs need somewhere they can rent without buying a property every time they change postcode.
Someone has to provide those homes.
For years, politicians and campaigners have concentrated on controlling landlords already in the market.
Far less attention has been paid to creating conditions in which somebody would actually want to become one.
And that may prove to be the bigger mistake.
Because today’s landlord selling up is visible, but tomorrow’s landlord deciding never to buy is not.
We will only notice that landlord when the home is missing and the tenant is competing with 10 or more other people to rent the one that remains.
Until next time,
The Landlord Crusader
11 comments on this article
A different perspective could help you spot an issue, avoid a mistake or find a better way forward. Read the comments and add your own views if you wish.
Previous Article
The Bank held rates. Your next mortgage may still cost more.Next Article
Record rents stretch tenant budgets
2 weeks ago | 5 comments
2 weeks ago
2 weeks ago | 1 comments
Member Since January 2024 - Comments: 423
11:20 AM, 18th September 2026, About 2 weeks ago
Why would someone want to BTL properties now? There are lots of risks and no real gains.
In addition, if you buy personally, the rental profits BEFORE interest are added to your other income and can adversely affect your ability to get child credits, personal allowances, the amount of student loan repayments, ability to get free childcare, as well as being taxed at 60+ if you are a 40% taxpayer.
This is before you even start to look at all the administration, costs, licensing, MTD, potential to be hit by high fines for innocent errors, defaulting tenants, inability to rent for 12 months if you try and sell but can’t, etc!!!
Member Since March 2018 - Comments: 76
11:25 AM, 18th September 2026, About 2 weeks ago
Extremely well said.
I have long held this view. As we get older and decide to retire at the top who is replacing us at the bottom. Twenty years ago when I started mortgages were more readily available, mortgage cost could be offset, stress tests were fair and extra stamp duty was an absurd thought. For a medium to long term investment bricks and mortar made sense. The 2008 crash meant my properties were worth less than they were when I purchased them, but the rent still outweighed the mortgage.
Sit tight with my monthly income and wait for the value to come back.
Now not only is it harder to buy, but with all the extra costs the time to realise any return on your investment runs into years.
If I was starting again I absolutely wouldn’t put that money into property there are many other investments that offer better returns and far less stress.
As you say the big problem is not the landlord leaving but rather the landlord never starting.
So many things have gradually been heaped upon us and it’s become a complicated business. Sadly I don’t believe there is a magic bullet. We are all going to have a ringside seat as which ever Government it is suddenly realises the problem with rental properties is not landlords but rather the lack of landlords. I might move into selling “I told you so!” merchandise.
Member Since October 2013 - Comments: 1748 - Articles: 3
11:28 AM, 18th September 2026, About 2 weeks ago
I read recently something about how the majority of new builds in the past were bought by landlords, and since new build volumes had dropped over the past couple of years (Labour government!), BTL mortgage applications had dropped in direct corrolation (not exact words but you get the gist).
My Partner’s 25 year old son was due to exchange on his second BTL this week; 2-bed house. Price was right, good condition, location 2 minutes away, no mortgage, high demand for lower rent properties… but the solicitor made such a big thing about the source of his funds (loan repaid to Mum, who was then gifting it to him), that it gave him an opportunity to reconsider whether another BTL was the best use of ‘his’ money. We had a good chat about the RRA, and how it was likely to affect that level of property more than his other 4-bed house let to a lawyer earning £500k pa. He decided to pull out and invest in stocks & shares, ISA, pension. The buyer asked why, and we pointed to the solicitor’s AML overreach. He complained to the solicitor who then decided they didn’t need all the personal financial information they had demanded after all. Too late. Commonsense had prevailed and another 2 beds lost due to the RRA.
Going off on a bit of a tangent, solicitor’s AML demands are becoming a major challenge, especially where source of funds is not always straightforward. The HMRC requirements are pretty straightforward, but some solicitors have gone to unnecessary extremes just to cover their backsides. This time, it bit them in their backside. I had the same problem sending money to my son in Dubai for a property purchase. The company I wanted to use did the same thing, which was causing me a huge amount of wasted effort. So I moved to a company who was less demanding.
Member Since November 2019 - Comments: 208
1:20 PM, 18th September 2026, About 2 weeks ago
Both Labour and Conservative Governments have designed and adopted policies to wipe out the Private Landlord .
Claiming they are helping tenants by driving Private Landlords out via Taxation, out rageous fines, and Regulations .
I cannot see how Tenants are to benefit if there is nothing to rent.
Member Since September 2023 - Comments: 133
1:36 PM, 18th September 2026, About 2 weeks ago
I gave this interview on 15th April, 2019.
https://youtu.be/6cctEG4sv6Q
Since then the situation has gone backwards!
Member Since January 2015 - Comments: 1606 - Articles: 1
1:16 PM, 19th September 2026, About 2 weeks ago
I sold up to non-landlords so properties lost to the PRS.
30+ years was enough lol
Member Since September 2023 - Comments: 133
2:45 PM, 19th September 2026, About 2 weeks ago
When Judith sold up it was to non landlords.
When I sold up non landlords predominantly purchased.
It’s the same story!
Member Since October 2013 - Comments: 1748 - Articles: 3
2:58 PM, 19th September 2026, About 2 weeks ago
Reply to the comment left by Judith Wordsworth at 19/09/2026 – 13:16
I remortgaged with the intention to let my house in London and buy elsewhere, but then the S24 implications became apparent. I couldn’t repay the loan because of early repayment costs, so I kept my home empty for nearly 2 years, until I sold at a much higher profit. With rent at £30k pa, plus a high mortgage, salary, and 40% tax, S24 could have bankrupted me. I sold to a retired couple who had moved to the Cotswolds and wanted a (4 bed) London pad. No CGT, no hassle!
Member Since January 2024 - Comments: 423
5:00 PM, 20th September 2026, About 2 weeks ago
Reply to the comment left by NewYorkie at 19/09/2026 – 14:58
It’s great (for the government) that you have to pay tax, even if you make a loss after interest costs!
Member Since October 2020 - Comments: 1370
12:13 PM, 21st September 2026, About 2 weeks ago
For Government this is not even about us not buying. This is about a changing of the guard. Corporate buyers and build to rent properties are replacing smaller PRS landlords. It depends which studies you believe as to whether that’s at a greater or lesser rate than we’re leaving, but this was always the Gov’t plan.