My landlord vision for Christmas 2025 – it’s not good for tenants

My landlord vision for Christmas 2025 – it’s not good for tenants

8:26 AM, 31st January 2025, About 10 months ago 44

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It’s been six months since the Renters’ Rights Bill hit the statute books and the dust still hasn’t settled.

Tenants are outraged at the government’s meddling and can’t believe that evictions haven’t ended.

That’s despite reassurances from the naïve crowd in Labour that Section 21 ‘no-fault’ evictions are the ‘leading cause of homelessness’.

But we’ve since found out that wasn’t the case.

Rent arrears, anti-social behaviour and fed-up landlords bailing out of the PRS are the reasons why renters were being evicted.

Who knew?

Promise of tenant empowerment

There’s little festive cheer for the UK’s landlords after the promise of tenant empowerment has morphed into a harsh autumn of a growing PRS disaster, and frankly, it’s not a pretty sight.

My crystal ball has been working overtime to paint this bleak picture:

  • The housing crisis deepens: The promised 1.5 million new homes? Still a pipe dream. Meanwhile, the landlord exodus we predicted has become a reality, drastically shrinking the supply of rental properties. Tenants, now clinging to their rented homes like life rafts, are staying put for longer, not out of choice, but necessity. The inevitable result? Rents have rocketed as landlords opt to price high to avert any legal challenge of creating a bidding war. This move disproportionately impacts those on benefits or low wages – the very people Labour claims to champion
  • Periodic tenancies: The introduction of periodic tenancies has wreaked havoc on the student accommodation sector, as predicted. Student landlords take fright at the prospect of students handing their notice in after Christmas to live with parents and save cash. Overseas students face a near-impossible hurdle since they can’t pass stricter tenant checks without a UK presence, and with landlords understandably wary of accepting illegal advance rent payments, they’re left stranded. Potentially, universities could help but they don’t have the accommodation levels (thanks to years of over expansion…)
  • Notice periods: The much-lauded ability for tenants to give two months’ notice from day one, while landlords remain bound by longer notice periods, has created a power imbalance. Despite the Bill having the aim of levelling up the playing field, landlords now face extended void periods and the recurring costs of finding new tenants. Grounds for possession under Section 8, requiring a year’s occupancy, further tie landlords’ hands. To me, this is no longer an investment strategy; it’s indentured servitude
  • Selective licensing goes wild: Councils, emboldened by the Labour decision to remove the Secretary of State’s permission before creating a scheme have unleashed a torrent of selective licensing scams, I mean schemes, adding another layer of red tape and cost for landlords – though it’s tenants picking up the bill
  • Arrears and the Courts: The extended period before rent arrears become actionable, coupled with the chronically overburdened court system, has created a perfect (predictable) storm. Tenants can effectively enjoy a rent-free period for months, potentially years, while landlords are left powerless. Lefty judges and solicitors don’t help the situation
  • Guarantors: The restrictions on accepting guarantors adds another layer of risk, particularly for younger tenants. It appears that only landlords should be put at a potential financial disadvantage
  • EPCs: Labour continues doubling down on the EPC C rating by 2030 despite the whole Net Zero nonsense harming the economy and putting us at a disadvantage with leading economies. There’s still no sign that this much needed measure to deliver ‘warm and comfortable’ homes will extend to the social housing sector. It’s just another nail in the coffin for landlords, driving even more out of the market.

Evidence of a landlord exodus

Housing minister Matthew Pennycook and his cronies still deny there’s evidence of a landlord exodus, but more are leaving than investing. They bury their heads in the sand and deny the damage, but the reality is clear.

The Renters’ Rights Bill, far from being a panacea, has exacerbated the very problems it purported to solve. Even the government’s late pitch to impose rent caps doesn’t play well – everyone can now see why rents are rising. It isn’t landlord greed.

For landlords, Christmas 2025 is a stark reminder of well-intentioned, but ultimately misguided, legislation.

It’s a time for reflection, and perhaps, a strategic rethink.

The PRS landscape has undoubtedly changed with both tenants and landlords losing out.

The scenario was inevitable but it’s way worse than landlords could have foreseen and there’s no sign of a U-turn since the Labour clown show government is too busy fighting the fires it started: there’s no economic growth, immigration spirals out of control, overtaxed businesses are still laying off, incomes and living standards plummet – basically, it’s January 2025 on steroids.

We’re back to the problem of unintended consequences – that is if you ignore the expertise of landlords who have been vilified and who are too beaten to say, ‘We told you this would happen’.

Until next time,

The Landlord Crusader


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Crouchender

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14:55 PM, 6th February 2025, About 9 months ago

With 90% of LLs with their heads in sand they will get a wake up call after Easter. I can see a prefect storm brewing. The RRB will be catalyst to sell up before commencement date and ALSO before Reeves raises CGT (back to 28%+??) as Labour will see the opportunity to increase TAX take . However what will really hit the headlines is rents going up significant well above the Summer trend. I.e. Rents usually go up from June to September (peak) as a result of reduced supply from LLs bailing out while they can. I can’t as locked into hefty mortgage penalties but for those close to retirement/cashin/minimise stress levels then now is your opportunity

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Keith Wellburn

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15:07 PM, 6th February 2025, About 9 months ago

Reply to the comment left by Crouchender at 06/02/2025 – 14:55
Very good point about the CGT, all the talk about those with the broadest shoulders from Reeves and then she left CGT for residential property sales 4p in the £ less than the 28% I paid on most of my sales after Osborne put the boot in.

It can’t last – not the way the economy is heading. Wouldn’t be surprised if Keir throws Reeves under the bus later this year (that’s if he’s capable of acting like a politician rather than a bureaucrat) and then the replacement may favour the alignment of CGT with income tax rates which is always being talked about at Budget time.

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GlanACC

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7:57 AM, 7th February 2025, About 9 months ago

My landlord vision for 2025 is ‘Im’e alright Jack’. I will be going away again for Christmas. My BTL business makes a small profit these days (you need a good accountant) and I intend to spend it before Rachael from Accounts gets her mits on it (will she still be around at Christmas – looking unlikely).

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NewYorkie

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10:37 AM, 7th February 2025, About 9 months ago

Reply to the comment left by GlanACC at 07/02/2025 – 07:57I’ve worked towards a very comfortable retirement, and a financial legacy for my children. I’ve now retired, and before Reeves announced her raid on private pensions, thought I had set aside money for my children. I’m now having to re-think, and BTL won’t figure for.much longer.
I don’t think it matters who is in No11. Reeves is not qualified to run the economy, and Labour has no one who can do it any better. They rely on advisors, and this bunch are ideologically driven. Whoever is in No11 will be given the same advice from the same advisors. Starmer will sack Reeves, but not because he thinks she’s doing a bad job. He needs to throw someone under the bus because he’s being told it would look good to the electorate. But the electorate doesn’t matter for a few years. It’s the financial markets he needs to convince, and even the useful idiot at the BoE and the OBR think things are looking a bit tricky.

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