1 year ago | 5 comments
The biggest problem facing landlords is that the PRS is like a pendulum, swinging slowly from one policy extreme to the other, and there is nobody left in parliament or the civil service who remembers what the PRS was like before 1988. I do. My family has been involved with private lettings one way and another for 60 years.
Between 1984 and 1987 I took an undergraduate course in estate management as a mature student. It was made very clear that only a lunatic would buy a vacant house or flat and let it. A Rent Officer came to give us a lecture. By the end of the questions it was clear to all the students that we would never have anything to do with an investment whose performance depended on people like him, not if we could help it.
The year after I graduated the 1988 Act changed everything. It abolished rent controls for new lettings and provided a reliable method of evicting bad tenants. Slowly and tentatively investors started to consider residential property again. Eventually the rules about lending were relaxed and buy-to-let mortgages began to be available. The pendulum swung to the point where the private sector was investing vast sums to provide rented housing. The 1988 Act was a huge success.
The Renters’ Rights Bill will destroy that success. The last meaningful stage will be the House of Lords Committee on 22 and 24 April at which several interesting amendments will be tabled and then either withdrawn or voted down. The bill as brought from the House of Commons is pretty much the final form. We know what we are dealing with. It is already having a chilling effect on the PRS. And after it becomes an Act and its effects start to be seen and publicised the flow of capital will dry up almost completely.
Perhaps a few of the much-hyped Build to Rent projects will go ahead, but not many, not after rent controls are brought in. We are told there will not be rent controls. Nonsense, of course there will eventually be rent controls because the only certain way out from a letting that has gone wrong will be new mandatory ground 1A. Therefore each bad tenant will lead to another net loss from the PRS, rents will rise as the supply diminishes even further than it has already, and the pressure for “rent caps” from Shelter and Generation Rent will be overwhelming. As the years go by landlords, including the BTR landlords, will discover the hard way that the 1988 Act was brought in for good reasons.
Of course the decline in the PRS won’t mean that homes will vaporize. They will become owner-occupied. Whether that is a good or a bad thing is a political question. All I am saying here is that I am old enough to have seen the pendulum swing in housing policy, and indeed in every sphere of policy. Each new cohort of politicians, civil servants, and lawyers thinks they will solve problems with policies which, more often than not, have been tried before. So far as housing policy is concerned it is only a few old codgers like me who have first-hand memories of the pre 1988 world. The government won’t listen to us. Our views are brushed aside as being out of date, or anti-social(ism).
Those who predict that the Renters’ Rights Act will have an instant effect are wrong. It will take time for things to change. Its effect will be seen whenever there is a draconian penalty charge, or a trashed house, or a tenant won’t pay their rent and the landlord’s mortgagee forecloses. The effect will be that another home will move from the PRs to owner occupation.
But at some point, perhaps in about 30 or 40 years’ time, some bright young politician will bring forward a new piece of legislation, very like the Housing Act 1988, and the pendulum will start swinging back again. That’s what we are dealing with, a pendulum.
What do other landlords think will happen?
Thanks,
Michael
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Member Since December 2023 - Comments: 1573
9:47 AM, 24th March 2025, About 1 year ago
Of course it is.
But it is swinging against private tenants more than it is swinging against landlords.
At least we can escape the PRS. For many tenants, there is no exit.
Member Since January 2023 - Comments: 142
10:12 AM, 24th March 2025, About 1 year ago
Reply to the comment left by Cider Drinker at 24/03/2025 – 09:47
one aspect that seems ill considered is this. Suppose a landlord lets a shop and upper part to a shopkeeper who then lets the upper parts in rooms. At present it is the shopkeeper who is liable for fines etc for operating what is likely to be an unlicensed HMO. Under the proposed new bill the superior landlord will be liable for fines and prosecution for wrong doings of the tenant. How on earth can a freeholder police what his tenant does with the residential upper parts? Not possible. I predict the RRB will see the cost of cheap accommodation soar as availability inevitably diminishes. This is but one problem with the RRB
Member Since October 2023 - Comments: 201
10:13 AM, 24th March 2025, About 1 year ago
What I think will happen, is that Government and Council meddling will remove most of the smaller landlords from the PRS over the next few years.
Then big corporate landlords will take over, and they have the “clout” to lobby MP’s to get the rules altered to suit themselves.
Then tenants find out its the corporate landlords way, or the highway (literally).
This process has already played out in most parts of America. Thats why Los Angles has 70,000 homeless.
Member Since July 2022 - Comments: 23
10:18 AM, 24th March 2025, About 1 year ago
Its not an investment unless you can be sure to regain property at the end of agreed term agree, back to the pre 1988 and 1996 acts
Member Since November 2019 - Comments: 150
10:33 AM, 24th March 2025, About 1 year ago
The Renter Reform Bill , Is poor legislation which nobody except politicians and so called Activists want.
Do Tenants want higher Rents ?
Can Landlords now afford to house anyone but Gold Standard Tenants with a Guarantor. ?
Member Since May 2015 - Comments: 2188 - Articles: 2
10:35 AM, 24th March 2025, About 1 year ago
There was little wrong with the 1988 act. Nearly all the subsequent legislation, especially section 24, should be repealed and the PRS left to get on with its business unhindered. This would result in lower rents, better availability, more choice and happier tenants. A side effect would be fewer homeless families and far fewer evictions.
It will not happen.
Member Since January 2025 - Comments: 4
10:46 AM, 24th March 2025, About 1 year ago
The pendulum analogy is spot on—housing policy has always been reactionary, swinging from one extreme to the other as governments attempt to correct the unintended consequences of past decisions. The Renters’ Rights Bill may be well-intentioned, but as history has shown, policies that undermine landlord confidence inevitably shrink the PRS, driving rents up and limiting choice for tenants.
What’s likely to happen? In the short term, we’ll see fewer landlords, higher rents, and reduced supply, as many smaller landlords opt to sell rather than navigate the increased regulatory burden. The irony is that this won’t necessarily improve affordability—quite the opposite. While some properties will transition to owner-occupation, the broader rental market will become even more competitive.
In the longer term, once the effects of reduced rental stock become too severe to ignore, policymakers will be forced to reconsider their approach. But as the article rightly suggests, this could take decades, with generations of tenants caught in the middle. Perhaps the PRS will eventually be rebuilt through new incentives, much like what happened after the Housing Act 1988, but not before another cycle of crisis and reform.
The real question is: How much damage will be done in the meantime?
Member Since May 2014 - Comments: 616
11:49 AM, 24th March 2025, About 1 year ago
Michael is spot on!
We had our first protected tenant in 1975 and when we tried to sell this property in 1984 it was valued at less than half the price of the identical property next door and then we could only sell to a cash buyer because no one would lend on them.
It is only a matter of time before they cap rents and then buy to let lending will fall off a cliff but I believe that the government will find a way to exempt BTR from rent capping.
This will be a disaster and it does seem a very odd way of trying to grow the economy!
Member Since October 2023 - Comments: 36
11:57 AM, 24th March 2025, About 1 year ago
Labour (the anti Landlord bashers!) No future in the PRS with them in control. I’m just watching to see how the new changes pan out and if it’s not worth the hassle anymore then it’s bye bye tenants I’m afraid. Time to move on and invest my money in something with less problems. I might reconsider to go back to renting if The Reform party ever get in power and change the PRS rules back in favour towards the landlord otherwise it’s been an experience and I’ve enjoyed the ride so far.
Member Since October 2023 - Comments: 25
12:00 PM, 24th March 2025, About 1 year ago
It is like a pendulum, but no one benefits. When it moves against landlords, the corollary is it moves against tenants. You don’t get something for nothing. You can have all the rights in the world, but if there’s no one willing to provide a rental property on those terms, you won’t have a home. Many landlords are already working for free. They’re disrespected, have had enough and are leaving the sector.
“Of course the decline in the PRS won’t mean that homes will vaporize. They will become owner-occupied.”
Landlords selling up sets the equilibrium for buyers. As more landlords sell, there’s less need for new build. People will continue to rent, because it suits their needs. The poorest, who have to rent, will be pushed out of the bottom of the market as rental stock declines.
It’s a downward spiral to under investment, less rental stock, higher rents, and more homelessness.