9:46 AM, 9th May 2025, About 7 days ago 15
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A few weeks ago, I warned that the private rented sector (PRS) faces a far graver threat from the government’s Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) mandates than from the much-debated Renters’ Rights Bill.
Now, two heavyweight voices – UK Finance and Paragon Bank – have echoed my fears, sounding the alarm on Labour’s reckless push to force all rental properties to an EPC rating of C by 2030, with new tenancies compliant by 2028.
This isn’t just policy overreach; it’s a recipe for chaos that could evict tenants, bankrupt landlords and shrink the rental market to breaking point.
So why is Labour rushing headlong toward this disaster?
Are they so dazzled by the likes of Generation Rent and Shelter that they’d rather score cheap political points than face reality?
Let’s start with the numbers. According to Paragon, 60% of PRS properties in England and Wales – that’s 1.6 million homes – are rated EPC D or below.
To hit Labour’s 2030 target, landlords would need to retrofit 2,000 properties every day.
For the 2028 deadline on new tenancies, that jumps to a ludicrous 4,000 daily.
This isn’t a lofty ambition; it’s pure political fantasy.
As I’ve said before, as a nation we don’t have the cash, the workforce or the materials to pull this off.
And now UK Finance calculates that the final bill will be a staggering £36 billion.
Worryingly, it also says that landlords are facing bills of £10,000 to £25,000 per property.
For small landlords, who make up the backbone of the PRS, this is a financial death sentence.
Grants like the Boiler Upgrade Scheme are a drop in the bucket, and navigating its bureaucracy is a nightmare.
UK Finance has called Labour’s deadlines ‘overly ambitious’, warning of a ‘one size fits all’ approach that ignores the diversity of Britain’s rental stock.
Victorian terraces, a staple of the PRS, are notoriously hard to retrofit.
Listed buildings and conservation areas face even tighter restrictions.
Yet Labour expects landlords to magically transform these homes into eco-palaces by 2030, or face fines of up to £30,000 or bans on renting.
Paragon goes further and is – bravely, I think – urging the government to slow down and reinstate a £10,000 investment cap and seven-year exemption to avoid a landlord sell-off.
Without these, they predict a mass exodus, with landlords dumping properties rather than drowning in debt.
A Paragon survey of 900 landlords found just 17% think 2030 is remotely feasible.
If the experts at UK Finance and Paragon can see the damage, why can’t Labour?
If Labour and tenant activists aren’t worried, then they should read the Daily Telegraph more often.
It reports this week of a ‘rush of tenant evictions’ as landlords, unable to afford upgrades, sell up or stop renting.
This isn’t scaremongering; it’s really happening.
The PRS is shrinking, with 20% of landlords planning to exit, as the NRLA reported recently.
Fewer rentals mean higher rents – potentially £100–£200 more per month as landlords pass on costs.
Tenants, already stretched, will bear the brunt, especially low-income renters.
And what of Labour’s net zero promises?
Lower energy bills sound noble, but if tenants are priced out or evicted, what’s the point?
The irony is that Labour’s green crusade could make homelessness worse, not better.
So, why is Labour so blind? Are they in thrall to pressure groups like Generation Rent and Shelter, who paint ALL landlords as greedy villains?
These groups cheer policies that sound tenant-friendly but ignore the fallout.
Squeezing landlords doesn’t magically create affordable homes; it destroys the PRS, leaving tenants struggling to find somewhere to move (about to get harder thanks to Serco snapping up properties for asylum seekers).
Labour’s obsession with net zero optics seems to trump common sense.
Scoring points with eco-activists matters more than the livelihoods of landlords or the stability of the rental market.
Is this the stupidest government in years? It’s hard to argue otherwise when they ignore warnings from banks, landlords and can’t do basic arithmetic.
For decades, landlords have poured money, time and effort into housing millions.
The PRS houses one in five UK households, yet we’re vilified and saddled with impossible demands.
The EPC mandates, combined with the Renters’ Rights Bill and punitive taxes, feel like a deliberate attack.
Labour must wake up.
Scrap the 2028 deadline, as UK Finance demands.
Reinstate the £10,000 cap and exemptions, as Paragon suggests.
Offer real subsidies, not token grants.
Without urgent changes, the PRS will collapse, tenants will suffer, and Labour will have only itself to blame.
Will they see the light?
If they can’t heed UK Finance, Paragon and the cries of landlords, I fear the answer is no.
The drubbing they got last week from Reform will look like a cheeky tickle at closing time when the electoral fallout from evictions takes place.
The clock is ticking, and the rental market is running out of time.
Until next time,
The Landlord Crusader
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Grumpy Doug
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Sign Up15:55 PM, 9th May 2025, About 6 days ago
Reply to the comment left by A Reader at 09/05/2025 - 15:17No allegedly about it - he did work for them for the princely sum of £650,000 per annum for 4 days per month. Not bad for a second class history graduate. Mind you, many of his policies as Chancellor "helped" them considerably. Some may raise an eyebrow at that ... I couldn't possibly comment!
Stella
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Sign Up16:28 PM, 9th May 2025, About 6 days ago
Reply to the comment left by Grumpy Doug at 09/05/2025 - 15:55Not only did he work for Black Rock but apparently he worked for several other companies also as well as being Editor of the Evening Standard.
He must be exhausted!!!
Cider Drinker
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Sign Up20:48 PM, 9th May 2025, About 6 days ago
The government wants landlords to sell up. CGT receipts are very attractive. SDLT receipts are also attractive.
Displaced U.K. nationals will be cheaper to store in temporary accommodation because many will go to family.
This frees up current housing stock to help empty the asylum hotels.
Desert Rat
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Sign Up1:34 AM, 10th May 2025, About 6 days ago
I don't think that the government know or care about the impact of EPC C will have on the PRS, eventually they will be paying to re house them.
Yes, they want rid of the PRS, Yes they intend for Lloyds or Black rock to take over but where do they think that all of the people paying LHA rents will go? these companies are not going to want to rent to them and they will not be going away.
I've recently been forced to look at buying a low value house terraced house for a not close family member who is currently living in a 2 bed house with another family. I don't know the full story, but there is at least 3 adults and 2 children and 2 large dogs living in a 2 bed PRS house and the local council won't do anything about it as they would have to re house them.
I'm currently looking at selling and not buying. Any houses that I can afford are ex rentals with an EPC D and I've already told them I'd have to sell up when the government bring in EPC C, I'm not spending 2 - 3 years income (before tax) to get the house to a C so the government can get some brownie points with shelter.
I really don't see Lloyds or Blackrock housing housing benefit tenants unless the government are paying them a fortune or exempting them from having to comply with the PRS laws.
Serco may rent from desperate landlords who will be unable to sell these kind of houses to house asylum seekers and make a fortune from the government, but where are the rest of the people going to live?
In tents?
If the government come out and say that the EPC C is going ahead, I'm going to refuse to buy the house, the council can deal with it when I report them for allowing overcrowding.
paul smith
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Sign Up17:27 PM, 13th May 2025, About 2 days ago
The fun really starts when Reform run councils start inspecting refugee occupied accommodation/hotels. I'll buy the popcorn.