Property Prices in a Recession: What’s Going On?

Property Prices in a Recession: What’s Going On?

9:08 AM, 25th August 2020, About 4 years ago 2

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It’s official. We are in a recession here in the UK and it’s the deepest of any major economy, but why does everything feel so good? Folks are on furlough by day, but by night are happy to pack out bars and restaurants for their state-funded chicken and chips.

There have been bounce back loans, state grants, VAT deferment and more. Add this to the Stamp Duty waiver and the pent-up demand from the Covid-19 lock-down, it’s easy to understand why there is a mini property boom right now. The UK economy is on six cans of Red Bull and an incredible sugar-rush high.

The economy is pumped-up right now, but next year that high will be a low. People will be coming off furlough, Government loans will need repaying and tax breaks will come to an end. We will see more unemployment with lay-offs, as well as more business failures, and the Government will find it difficult to make us feel that all is well.

The banks won’t be fooled by this Red Bull high, they have been dropping their LTV’s (Loan To Value) on property loans from Pre-Covid levels. You ask why? Because they aren’t expecting property prices to hold up.

So what about property investors and people with property businesses? That brings us onto my Five All-Time Golden Rules For Understanding How Property Prices Behave Over Time.

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Comments

10:23 AM, 25th August 2020, About 4 years ago

Going to wait 2 years then buy a property, the market isn't great right now over hyped and houses are not really good value.
Going to wait till the dip has came and we get a clear idea of the new tax regime for landlords, don't be fooled we'll get off lightly, everyone is going to feel the pinch.

Monty Bodkin

10:27 AM, 26th August 2020, About 4 years ago

The banks won’t be fooled by this Red Bull high, they have been dropping their LTV’s (Loan To Value) on property loans from Pre-Covid levels. You ask why?

Because landlords can't evict non-paying tenants for at least a year, added on to a raft of other anti landlord legislation.

Nothing to do with Mystic Meg property predictions.

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